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Assessing the impact of climate change on vector-borne viruses in the EU through the elicitation of expert opinion.

SUMMARY Expert opinion was elicited to undertake a qualitative risk assessment to estimate the current and future risks to the European Union (EU) from five vector-borne viruses listed by the World Organization for Animal Health. It was predicted that climate change will increase the risk of incursi... Full description

Journal Title: Epidemiology and infection February 2010, Vol.138(2), pp.214-225
Main Author: Gale, P
Other Authors: Brouwer, A , Ramnial, V , Kelly, L , Kosmider, R , Fooks, A R , Snary, E L
Format: Electronic Article Electronic Article
Language: English
Subjects:
ID: E-ISSN: 1469-4409 ; DOI: 10.1017/S0950268809990367
Link: http://search.proquest.com/docview/734199512/?pq-origsite=primo
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recordid: proquest734199512
title: Assessing the impact of climate change on vector-borne viruses in the EU through the elicitation of expert opinion.
format: Article
creator:
  • Gale, P
  • Brouwer, A
  • Ramnial, V
  • Kelly, L
  • Kosmider, R
  • Fooks, A R
  • Snary, E L
subjects:
  • Animal Diseases–Epidemiology
  • Animals–Transmission
  • Arthropod Vectors–Virology
  • Climate Change–Virology
  • Communicable Diseases, Emerging–Epidemiology
  • European Union–Transmission
  • Expert Testimony–Transmission
  • Humans–Transmission
  • Virus Diseases–Transmission
ispartof: Epidemiology and infection, February 2010, Vol.138(2), pp.214-225
description: SUMMARY Expert opinion was elicited to undertake a qualitative risk assessment to estimate the current and future risks to the European Union (EU) from five vector-borne viruses listed by the World Organization for Animal Health. It was predicted that climate change will increase the risk of incursions of African horse sickness virus (AHSV), Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV) and Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) into the EU from other parts of the world, with African swine fever virus (ASFV) and West Nile virus (WNV) being less affected. Currently the predicted risks of incursion were lowest for RVFV and highest for ASFV. Risks of incursion were considered for six routes of entry (namely vectors, livestock, meat products, wildlife, pets and people). Climate change was predicted to increase the risk of incursion from entry of vectors for all five viruses to some degree, the strongest effects being predicted for AHSV, CCHFV and WNV. This work will facilitate identification of appropriate risk management options in relation to adaptations to climate change.
language: eng
source:
identifier: E-ISSN: 1469-4409 ; DOI: 10.1017/S0950268809990367
fulltext: fulltext
issn:
  • 14694409
  • 1469-4409
url: Link


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titleAssessing the impact of climate change on vector-borne viruses in the EU through the elicitation of expert opinion.
creatorGale, P ; Brouwer, A ; Ramnial, V ; Kelly, L ; Kosmider, R ; Fooks, A R ; Snary, E L
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identifierE-ISSN: 1469-4409 ; DOI: 10.1017/S0950268809990367
subjectAnimal Diseases–Epidemiology ; Animals–Transmission ; Arthropod Vectors–Virology ; Climate Change–Virology ; Communicable Diseases, Emerging–Epidemiology ; European Union–Transmission ; Expert Testimony–Transmission ; Humans–Transmission ; Virus Diseases–Transmission
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descriptionSUMMARY Expert opinion was elicited to undertake a qualitative risk assessment to estimate the current and future risks to the European Union (EU) from five vector-borne viruses listed by the World Organization for Animal Health. It was predicted that climate change will increase the risk of incursions of African horse sickness virus (AHSV), Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV) and Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) into the EU from other parts of the world, with African swine fever virus (ASFV) and West Nile virus (WNV) being less affected. Currently the predicted risks of incursion were lowest for RVFV and highest for ASFV. Risks of incursion were considered for six routes of entry (namely vectors, livestock, meat products, wildlife, pets and people). Climate change was predicted to increase the risk of incursion from entry of vectors for all five viruses to some degree, the strongest effects being predicted for AHSV, CCHFV and WNV. This work will facilitate identification of appropriate risk management options in relation to adaptations to climate change.
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